Is the Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, the “Sin Eater” of what has delivered his country into its current economic crisis? On the other hand, is he a pragmatic left leaning hawk seeking to ease Greece into its monetary and fiscal reformation? In truth, depending on the interested observer he is neither or both. Economists, bankers and monetary regulators have long observed Greece construct its own unique liquidity trap. Adding injury to the growing fiscal policy divide between northern and southern Europe there is a fundamental socio-political battle. This cultural divide was subject for debate prior to the Euro dollar’s official arrival on January 1, 1999.
Greece continues its deepening struggles into a messy, antiquated, and complicated economy. There remains a growing cacophony for fiscal reform. The resulting frustrations found voice in a soaring chorus of moral indignation and a too hastily constructed populace referendum. It served only to delay the inevitable assumption of new debt and hard to keep promises of governmental and economic reform. Greece’s looming pain of austerity resulting from economic reconstruction is unavoidable, whether there is a Grexit or not.
The jaws of the liquidity trap are tightening – with few considerations for those on the receiving end whose lives depend on social contracts. Bridge loans from the ECB and IMF will merely be absorbed (once again) into financial systems and its creditors. Capital management continues.
A Grexit temporary or otherwise has its faults.
Realities are that even if Greece leaves the EU – a reconstituted sovereign coin would have little or no value. This would make the already impossible – more impossible, creating additional unknowable(s). A reengineered drachma would have little to no intrinsic value. In its latest attempts to monetize, if the ECB follows through on purchasing high-risk high yield bonds, Greece will hold more debt. There must be the introduction of a flight to quality coin that is scalable to Greece’s industries. A digital currency not encumbered by the influence of sovereign politics and/or cross border regulators.
Cryptocurrency like Bitcoin maintains a market value based on demand.
The nominal value of any country’s money mirrors its political system (governing stability) and demand for its goods and services. The maturity of both is what keeps macro and microeconomic engines primed and running smoothly, in good times and bad.
At present Greece has little of either. Exiting the EU while keeping the ability to trade within the Euro monetary system is one answer. It does not repress the sense of moral hazard pervading member states. She has demonstrated that she is unable to pay back her debt. Greece’s repeated acceptance and need for regulators and member states bailout will cause her to remain EU’s welfare child.
To assuage the coming period of austerity in addition to providing breeding grounds for the return of a robust economy, there must be a sanctioned means of payment, generally accepted for goods and service across borders. Mass adoption of cryptocurrency like Bitcoin could be an answer. Block chain technology offers safety and political autonomy. It must become a trusted source of payment across borders.
Trade Ownership and Trust in Trusted Third Parties
Clearly, a multi-country trading scheme that entails an aggressive pact for purchasing Greece’s goods and services…would place its exports front and center. This would go a long way in reinventing Greek GDP. These trading pact disruptions could work especially well with developed nations whose currency rates are higher. Absent robust trading pacts VAT reforms is of little use.
Cross border VAT structures, must become progressive in ways that will endorse new trade agreements. In the face of this, broad based economic reconstructs can assuage future needs for financial restrictions or harsh capital management. To oil the monetary machine there should be a mass adoption of a currency that will circulate outside the Euro system of regulation. One stripped naked of current politics and monetary unions. The establishment of a “Cryptoconomy” is necessary.
The use of blockchain technology or Bitcoin is a way in which a system can adopt a monetary system alternative for times of challenging liquidity. So should there be a global currency of “safe haven”?
The need for Cryptoconomy is arguably one of the most valuable take away when considering that Greece must live with the Euro dollar in order to maintain economic stability. Their dependence on the Euro dollar is necessary to continue foreign trade, goodwill and a durable economy. Trading partners that are important suppliers and consumers to their markets will buy and sell almost exclusively in Euros.
In science, a hypothesis discovers validation by way of controlled studies. Cryptocurrency is the next logical step to achieving global economic parity once this tool attains the abilities to becoming “mass adopted”.
Digital currencies like Bitcoin will bypass the rocky socio-econ0mic road filled with regulations and regulators – the gatekeepers of sovereign wealth. It holds the supreme position of becoming the alternative coinage of choice for the future. Greece is a country where cash is the predominant means of transactions. Achieving nominal wealth through mass adoption of cryptocurrency will take time or a political economic means of persuasion.
Nominal Wealth is more than just an idea.
A country’s currency has a thing called nominal wealth attached to it. It is what brings about mass adoption of the coin of choice. For a cryptocurrency to become that go to money used by every segment of society. There must be assurance that the money of choice is welcome across borders and businesses. That means encouraging businesses to accept blockchain technology seamlessly as payment within the monetary system.
Greece, like many countries, is cash dependent. People pay for their day-to-day needs with cash in hand. When you take that structure out of the local economy there must be infrastructure ready to fill in the slack of downtime for transition. Once in general use Bitcoin can replace cash dependency.
Crisis is a harbinger of opportunity.
As an example, China acquired control over local businesses as it moved through Southwest Asia. Constituting its Yuan into local commerce, it targeted employee payouts while encouraging the populace to patronize businesses that accepted the Yuan. Those businesses became broad based while offering incentives to use the Chinese Yuan. Over time, the domestic currency began to devalue. Employees, commerce and those dependent on Chinese method of payment soon experienced its increased value. The Yuan became their go to monies for cash and banking transactions. The same scenario is possible for Bitcoin.
So can blockchain technology act as bridge money while creating a Cryptoconomy?
Rather than offering additional debt to liquidate stressed economies with regulatory infused currency ….blockchain technology is more agile. Its critics would argue that cryptocurrency has a gyrating unregulated market. Futures trading influence daily values of official government currencies. A sovereign coin looses or gains in market value through governmental instability and/or changes in socio-economic constructs. What blockchain technology brings to the table is a level of transaction transparency, a factor lacking in most financial institutions.
Should Greece exit the Euro zone, cryptocurrency can act as a permeable underlayment of currency. Unencumbered by the socio-economic global market, it can act as bridge financing for goods and services. In the absence of traditional capitol, Bitcoin can help maintain committed GDP growth. This could offer Greece a less expensive monetary easing.
The drachma would have time to reestablish value in a dual currency system. ~ BCSolutions